SBI Q2 profit seen up to 45% higher on stake-sale gains

Brokerages expect SBI's September-quarter net profit at ₹23,539 crore to ₹25,250 crore, helped by SBI Mutual Fund and NSE stake-sale gains.

Bank building with rupee symbol and coins, representing SBI quarterly results
SBI is due to report its September-quarter results on 3 November. Illustration: AI-generated.

Key points

  • Broking estimates point to about 45% year-on-year growth in SBI's standalone Q2 net profit, within a range of 16.6% to 50.5%.
  • Motilal Oswal expects profit of ₹25,250 crore; Systematix expects ₹23,539 crore.
  • Stake-sale gains from SBI Mutual Fund and NSE shares are expected to lift other income.
  • SBI is due to announce its results on 3 November 2026.

What happened

State Bank of India (SBI), the country’s largest bank, is due to declare its September-quarter results on 3 November 2026. Consensus estimates from broking firms point to about 45% year-on-year growth in standalone net profit, according to a BusinessLine report.

Estimates vary widely, from growth of 16.6% to 50.5%. The expected lift comes from growth in net interest income and other income, including gains from selling shares in SBI Mutual Fund and NSE.

What the brokerages expect

  • Motilal Oswal Financial Services: net profit up 50.5% to ₹25,250 crore. It sees net interest income (NII, the gap between interest earned on loans and interest paid on deposits) up 11.3% to ₹47,847 crore.
  • Systematix Shares and Stocks (India): net profit up 16.6% to ₹23,539 crore, with NII up 9.6% to ₹47,122 crore and other income up 49% to ₹22,833 crore.

Motilal Oswal projects advances (loans) growth of 18.9%, against 13.1% in the first quarter of FY26, and deposit growth of 12.1%, against 9.3%. It expects net interest margin (NIM, the profit earned on lending as a share of earning assets) at 2.83%, down 14 basis points from 2.97% a year ago. A basis point is one-hundredth of a percentage point.

Systematix said SBI’s other income would include a one-off gain of ₹1,020 crore from selling SBI Funds Management and NSE shares. It added that the bank could face higher credit costs, since it might use the one-off gains to build provision buffers, meaning money set aside for possible loan losses.

Bar chart comparing two brokerage estimates of SBI Q2 net profit
Brokerage estimates of SBI's Q2 standalone net profit. Chart: Finance.net.in.

What it means for you

These are analyst estimates, not reported numbers. The actual figures may differ once SBI publishes its results. If you hold SBI shares or follow the bank, the split between core earnings and one-off gains is worth watching, since one-off gains do not repeat every quarter.

Our guide on how to read bank results explains NII, NIM and NPA, and the explainer on gross NPA covers asset quality.

Background

Bank results are usually judged on net interest income, margins, loan and deposit growth and asset quality. Recent industry data showed bank credit growing faster than deposits, as covered in our report on bank credit growth.

What it means for you

The numbers are brokerage forecasts, so the reported results could differ. A large part of the expected profit jump comes from one-off stake-sale gains, not regular lending income. The reported margin and credit costs will show how the core business performed.

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Frequently asked questions

When will SBI announce its Q2 results?

BusinessLine reported that the bank would declare its results on 3 November 2026.

How much profit do brokerages expect SBI to report?

Estimates range from ₹23,539 crore (Systematix) to ₹25,250 crore (Motilal Oswal), with consensus pointing to about 45% year-on-year growth.

Why is profit expected to rise?

Brokerages cite net interest income growth and other income, including gains from selling shares in SBI Mutual Fund and NSE.

Sources

  1. SBI Q2 results: Net profit seen rising 45% on stake-sale gains and income growth — BusinessLine — Money & Banking

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This article is for information only and is not investment, tax or legal advice. Figures are from the sources linked above as of the publish or update time. Please verify with official sources or a qualified adviser before making financial decisions.